Friday Foreplay

Friday Foreplay – Gameweek 12

Gummi Fantasy Football Tips, Gameweek Previews

But it’s over and done with
It’s over and done with
It’s over and done with
It’s over and done with

Finally the international break is over and done with resulting in the return of our beloved Fantasy Premier League (FPL). So let us not waste more words and plow ahead to All Things FPL’s (ATFPL) Gameweek 12 preview and its captain picks, heavy hitters, clean sheets, punts, and the big ol’ rumbling gut.

Captain Picks

Sergio “Kun” Agüero is the best statistical bet of the Gameweek, as laid out in Captain Foresight. The lightning quick Argentinian has been almost single-handedly keeping Manchester City in the title race, as the Citizens have been lacklustre in recent weeks. His FPL numbers are out of this world, with seven goals in the last four Gameweeks in addition to eight bonus points. Suffice to say that a player that has blanked only three times so far this season; scored 11 times in 12 league games; is backed by fantastic underlying numbers; and is playing at home is the default captain pick.

Diego Costa is a predatory penalty box finisher for the best Premier League team. That alone is encouraging and is a decent enough reason to pick him as captain when playing at home. Behind only Agüero on 10 goals scored which could have been higher if not for his two Gameweek injury in October given Costa has only failed to score twice in the league this season, both times away from home. Considering this is the first Gameweek in some time where the Brazilian turned Spaniard is not an injury doubt, he’s a fine captain pick.

Alexis Sánchez not only tops ATFPL’s Watchlist but is also second in goal involvement in the last four Gameweeks, indicating the Arsenal star is a fine captain pick despite a possible cagey affair against Manchester United. Be aware though that tough fixtures await in the coming Gameweeks, something to consider before recruiting the former Barcelona man.

Heavy Hitters

In a rather unimpressive Gameweek for heavy hitters, Eden Hazard tops the list for the current title favourites as Chelsea’s upcoming fixtures look favourable. The Belgium midfielder is one of the few players ATFPL continues to back despite disappointing underlying numbers—Hazard is so talented, looks dangerous in every game, and looks ready to go on a monster Fantasy run.

Graziano Pellè, the surprise package of the season, has kept up his shooting rate in the last three Gameweeks despite failing to find the net, as noted in this Gameweek’s Opinion Article. That fact indicates he’ll score soon and although Southampton are playing away from home, they are facing a Vlaar-less Aston Villa side that have conceded two or more goals in six of their seven games.

The poorest of the heavy hitters picks this Gameweek is Liverpool’s Raheem Sterling. ATFPL were hopeful that the England midfielder would be boosted by the return of Daniel Sturridge but with news of yet another injury setback the striker is unlikely to feature again this year. However, Liverpool’s fixtures provide a reason for optimism and Sterling has delivered Fantasy points on a consistent based with three assists in the last five Gameweeks.

Punts

Ross Barkley, a topic of this Gameweek’s Differentials, has registered 11 goal attempts and eight key passes in the four Gameweeks since coming back from injury. Owned by only 4.3% of Fantasy Managers he’s set to start behind Romelu Lukaku up front in Everton’s home game against West Ham.

Oscar’s last four Gameweek’s have put him back on the Fantasy map with two goals and an assist. Matej considers him on par with Hazard, given the similar underlying statistics and the 1.6 million discount, and he’s a great differential for Chelsea’s run of attractive league matches.

Victor Moses, this Gameweek’s Risk vs Reward pick, is included in big part due to Stoke’s home game against Burnley. Burnley are conceding heavily on the road, thanks to an average of a little over 22 goal attempts conceded per way game, and Moses is included in much of Stoke’s attacking play. He’s a fine punt for Gameweek 12.

Clean Sheets

The ATFPL Clean Sheet Consortium likes the look of …

Gary Cahill for Chelsea, who have the likeliest clean sheet on paper this Gameweek and are due clean sheets as noted by Stoosher’s What we Learned.

Geoff Cameron, a budget option for Stoke’s favourable game against Burnley.

…Newcastle’s Paul Dummett, another budget option who featured in the Defenders Statistical Risers and Fallers due to his goal threat.

Big ol’ Rumbling Gut Pick

After flying high the last two seasons with Southampton, Rickie Lambert’s Fantasy potential took a nosedive following his transfer to Liverpool. However, with Sturridge still injured and Balotelli not finding form for Rodgers, Lambert could be set to start, either in a single striker role or in a front two. Even coming off the bench he’s a decent bet for a Fantasy returns this Gameweek so ATFPL’s gut rumbles for the reliable Englishman.


About the contributor

Gummi

Twitter

Really trusts Tommy.

How much does he factor in form?
18%
How much does he factor in fixtures?
80%
How much does he follow his gut?
16%
How much does he follow statistics?
90%

Join the AllThingsFPL.com Community

Members Area - Statistics and more

Members only Articles
Members only Leagues - Cash Prizes
Access the comments boards