ATFPL Statistics Lab – Team-mates

In Tommy We Trust Fantasy Football Tips 0 Comments

SL - GW9

As the Fantasy Football season unfolds, several inter-team battles vying for your investment have sparked a lot of debate throughout the Fantasy Football world. Today, ATFPL attempts to answer these questions through the use of our Statistics Lab. Read on to see if you agree with our findings and provide clarity to these much heated topics;

Eden Hazard vs Oscar

This debate has really kicked off this week with the emergence of Eden Hazard on to the scene. However, how have the two compared overall and who is finding form now?

Attacking Season Statistics

Player Goal Attempts Shots in Box Shots on Target Pen Area Touches Chances Created Final third passes completed
Hazard 17 10 8 31 19 149
Oscar 18 7 7 18 11 105

Looking through the season statistics you can see that while Oscar leads in goal attempts it is actually Hazard who is more of a goal threat with more shots on target, more shots and more touches from within the opposition box. This is counter to their goal counts with Oscar leading the way with 4 goals to Hazard’s 3, perhaps indicating that Hazard was unfortunate until lately not to register in this column earlier. Onto assist potential and again Hazard leads in both categories with more chances create (19 to 11) and more completed passes in the final third (149 to 105). These tallies with the season assist output that has Hazard with 2 assists compared with Oscar’s 0.

When comparing these outputs to the players’ original prices in the game, there is only one winner with Oscar originally priced at 8.5 mil compared to Hazard’s 9.5. However, due to masses of Fantasy Managers losing patience with Hazard and Oscar quick start this has now levelled out at 9.0 each making Hazard the clear choice for Fantasy Managers who have yet to invest in either. For those that invested in Oscar earlier at a cheaper price the stats are advising against jumping ship as evident with the below table. Hazard in the last four gameweeks leads in all categories but with Oscar closer to Hazard on assist potential, it would seem rash to move on him and wait for more statistical evidence to amass. ATFPL would understand if Fantasy Managers did make the jump for team value reasons with Hazard now the more popular according to the net transfer activity – Hazard net transfer activity of 29200 compared to Oscar’s 12013.

Last Four Gameweek Statistics

Player Goal Attempts Shots in Box Shots on Target Pen Area Touches Chances Created Final third passes completed
Hazard 10 5 5 19 7 67
Oscar 8 5 4 12 5 48

Wayne Rooney vs Robin van Persie

Next up for debate is the front pair at Old Trafford.

Attacking Season Statistics

Player Goal Attempts Shots in Box Shots on Target Pen Area Touches Chances Created Final third passes completed
Rooney 20 11 10 32 12 100
RVP 27 24 9 55 1 48

Simply looking at the season statistics there is very little to separate the two with RVP’s goal threat vastly better but Rooney’s assist potential equally as polarised. With these statistics in mind the price of the two players should determine the asset to own and with Rooney a full 3.0 million cheaper there is no contest for your selection. However, the season statistics do not tell the whole story as Rooney’s performances have been drastically different with and without RVP in the line up as evident below. Rooney’s goal threat is up without RVP in the side as David Moyes asks the England international to lead the line in the Dutchman’s absence. His penalty area touches is the biggest highlight of this. In terms of output, two of Rooney’s three goals were in this time period and the third was registered after RVP had been substituted against Crystal Palace. This in our eyes sways the selection over to RVP. The other reason for this move is RVP has only registered 9 attempts on target, something that he will improve based on previous seasons and when he does, goals will start flowing for the 13.9 million pound man and with the armband assigned, you can justify the price tag.

Rooney with and without RVP

Player Goal Attempts Shots in Box Shots on Target Pen Area Touches Chances Created Final third passes completed
Rooney With RVP averages 3 1.17 1.33 2 1.67 11.5
Rooney without RVP averages 4 2 2 6 1 15.5

Daniel Sturridge vs Luis Suarez

Rounding off this weeks Stats Lab is the Liverpool duo. Who is the man to own out of these two Fantasy Football studs?

Last three Gameweek Statistics

Player Goal Attempts Shots in Box Shots on Target Pen Area Touches Chances Created Final third passes completed
Sturridge 11 10 7 23 4 34
Suarez 15 10 7 39 6 63

With only three weeks of data with both men on the field, the statistics are somewhat compromised but they do show a few key highlights to monitor. Suarez leads in goal threat and assist potential with 15 goal attempts to Sturridge’s 11 and 6 chances created to Sturridge’s 4. Are the differences enough to justify the 1.4 million more to acquire Suarez’s services? Yes for Fantasy Managers who are yet to invest as Suarez has achieved these statistics while not fully match sharp. For managers who own Sturridge, it’s a case of watching to see if the slight increases ultimately turn into a points advantage. In the three games where both have played Suarez has registered 29 points to Sturridge’s 28 so it’s hasn’t hit Sturridge owners yet.

Leave a Reply