Olivier Giroud

Captain Foresight – Gameweek 25

Tommy - Group D Captain Tips, Fantasy Football Tips

Captain Foresight is a weekly captaincy article that looks at the underlying statistics of the top three picks in our weekly captain poll. It is where we offer you the statistical backing behind YOUR choices – you vote, we analyse. Read on as we discuss the merits of each providing gameweek 25 captain tips along with declaring our Risk V Reward pick.

Selected Players – Last Four Gameweeks

First off we highlight the players’ selected key numbers from the last four gameweeks.  Highest number per category is in green.

PlayerMPPPGGASiBSoTKP
Eden Hazard3606.001.250.250.753.00
Olivier Giroud3236.002.252.000.751.50
Angel di Maria3413.003.501.000.501.25

MP = Minutes Played, GA = Goal Attempts, SoT = Shots on Target, SiB = Shots inside Box, KP = Key Passes.

Opposition Defence – Last Four Gameweeks

Next we take a look at the opposition’s defensive stats for the last four gameweeks.  Highest (worst) numbers per category highlighted in blue.

Opposition (Player)G ConGA ConGA Con InBC Con
Everton (Hazard)0.2513.256.500.50
Leicester City (Giroud)1.25137.751.50
Burnley (di Maria)2.0012.007.002.00

G Con = Goals Conceded, GA Con = Goal Attempts Conceded, GA Con In = Goals Attempts Conceded in the Box, BC Con = Big Chances Conceded

Home v. Away Comparison

Last, we compare the numbers for each player and the opposition’s defence over the season based on whether the fixture is home or away.  Best individual statistics highlighted in green, worst defensive statistics highlighted in blue.

 Player StatisticsOpposition Statistics
Player (Opp)PPGGASiBSoTKPG ConGA ConGA Con InBC Con
Hazard (EVE)7.82.01.51.22.51.514.37.82.3
Giroud (LEI)4.72.31.71.11.01.818.611.12.4
di Maria (BUR)5.63.51.00.82.52.017.09.72.0
Players Table showing all statistics for the three selected players

Eden Hazard

When Chelsea are at home Eden Hazard is a viable captain option regardless of the opposition as the Belgian averages 7.8 points per home off the back six goals and three assists in 11 appearances. Safe choice then? Possible not! In recent weeks Hazard’s role in the Chelsea juggernaut has been more reserved with just one shot inside the box in his previous four gameweeks along with Everton also stiffening up defensively in the same period conceding just one. However Everton have achieved this feat against inferior opposition to that of Chelsea and Fantasy managers could look at their overall away defensive performances that sees the Toffees concede on average two big chances per game as a truer reflection of the likely outcome and in doing making Hazard a good captaincy destination.

Captain Foresight Score: 24.5

Olivier Giroud

With uncertainty over who will lineup directly behind Olivier Giroud with Alexis Sanchez returning along with Arsene Wenger’s intent on rotation as Danny Welbeck’s inclusion against Tottenham demonstrated, the French forward is selected ahead of the quartet of Gunners attacking midfield options. Averaging six points per game in the previous four gameweeks, the correlation between Giroud’s perchance for shots inside the box with Leicester City’s inability to prevent their opponents from their 18 yard box looks ripe for Fantasy points. Indeed, the Foxes away defence is nothing short of shambolic conceding the most goal attempts, goal attempts inside their box and big chances and while we aren’t suggesting that the likes of Santi Cazorla and the returning Alexis Sanchez aren’t good captaincy options we do like the security Giroud brings in starts in statistically the correct fixture to select from.

Captain Foresight Score: 27.8

Angel di Maria

Can Manchester United click at home to punish Burnley’s recent defence that is allowing two goals and big chances per game? Averaging over two goals per Old Trafford game along with five wins in their last six in front of their home faithful the answer has to be yes. So can Angel di Maria break the shackles that have been bestowed upon him since returning from a lengthy spell on the injury treatment table? He’ll get his shots away that’s for sure with more goal attempts in the previous four gameweeks and when playing at home over the season than the other two in this study but the snag is where they are taken from. Liking to shoot from distance AdM’s accuracy is severely effected hitting the target just 29.41% of the time and Fantasy managers should be vary of applying the armband to a player whose opportunity for goals is less than one attempt on target per game. Nevertheless, if one comes off combined with the Argentine’s creativity helping his involvement in Fantasy points, the captain foresight score does suggest a big Fantasy return is capable.

Captain Foresight Score: 28.8

Risk v. Reward

Who would have thought that Sergio Aguero could ever find himself in the risk v reward section of this article but with his form since returning from injury, captaining the City forward away at Stoke City is exactly that. Risk is high but equally reward for the brave Fantasy manager could be plenty. Averaging 7.1 points per game, Aguero’s away numbers for the season are fantastic with the forward averaging 4.6 goal attempts of which 3.4 are within the opposition box, hitting the target 1.9 times per game, far higher than any other the above three. In comparison though, since returning from injury the grand sum of his efforts is just 10 goal attempts and three shots on target in four appearances. Which Sergio Aguero will we see in Gameweek 25?

Captain Foresight Score: 29.3

About the contributor

Tommy - Group D

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Statistics are only as good as the man who manipulated them so the question is do you trust Tommy?

How much does he factor in form?
60%
How much does he factor in fixtures?
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