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Captain Foresight – Gameweek 1

In Tommy We Trust Captain Foresight

Get the most important fantasy premier league decision of any gameweek right with captain foresight, captain tips, advice and picks for FPL gameweek 1.

Heading into the unknown not only do fantasy premier league managers have to assemble and sign off their squad very very soon, the armband at this point of the season can feel like a lottery. You can’t win a mini league now but arguably you can go a long way to losing it and caution must be used. That noted, on with the captaincy debate…

The players to consider

Time to consult the community and discuss the top three players* occupying the latest gameweek captain poll.

Romelu Lukaku

What a difference a summer makes for Romelu Lukaku. Now in a Manchester United as his wish to compete in the Champions League came to fruition, fantasy managers appear convinced the move will be successful with the Belgian currently leading the captain poll by a landslide. No doubt helped by the player’s massive ownership, a home encounter against West Ham could be the perfect foil to get the Red Devils’ juggernaut rolling. The Hammers kept just two away clean sheets, conceding 33 in the process last season with their underlying away statistics not much better ranking with the fifth highest tally for shots inside the box conceded and fourth highest for big chances shipped. And while Slaven Bilic has re-enforced a clear weakness with some potentially astute signings, it’s hard to imagine United failing to trouble the scoreboard.

Indeed, while Jose Mourinho’s men were disappointing midweek in the Super Cup against Real Madrid let’s not forget the calibre of the opposition while let’s also remember that Lukaku did get on the scoresheet and had multiple opportunities to add that tally.

Harry Kane

It’s surprising Harry Kane isn’t offering as much opposition within the captain poll in my opinion. Finishing the season like a train averaging 9.83 points per game over the last four gameweeks, Kane mustered 9 goals and 3 assists to secure his second successive golden boot award. Mix in the opposition Newcastle who unlike the Hammers above haven’t been as successful in the transfer market as their manager Rafa Benitez expected and we could have a situation where Kane will face an opponent already with unrest within the camp.

That said, it’s not exactly like Spurs have endured the best of summer breaks either and it’s probably this external factor that is denting the appeal of the player himself.

Sergio Aguero

The bigger question surrounding Sergio Aguero is whether you can rely on Pep Guardiola to play the Argentine consistently but that aside and presuming it’s not an issue for the sake of this article (why would you own him if you thought it was), away to Brighton & Hove Albion is the obvious appeal. However, are fantasy managers aware that Brighton amassed 21 clean sheets of which 12 were at The Amex Stadium, conceding just 14 goals in 23 matches in the process? Perhaps Brighton won’t be the defensive pushovers most promoted clubs tend to be and with the opening day always a factor for newly promoted clubs, the safest route right now could be to follow convention and look at the man at the summit of the captain poll while banking your Aguero points as a differential?

Any others of note?

Alexandre Lacazette introduction to life in Premier League will begin by welcoming Craig Shakespeare’s Leicester City to The Emirates Stadium. Can the Frenchman take his glowing Ligue 1 record and translate it to the Premier League immediately? Arsene Wenger will certainly be hoping so with a favourable result for the Gunners absolutely essential to prevent any uprising from discontented fans.

Kevin De Bruyne has been hotly tipped to make this forthcoming season the best yet in a Manchester City shirt and this is being reflected in the captain poll but in order to achieve this feat the playmaker will need to take his Etihad Stadium performances on the road and produce for City reliably. As evidence of this De Bruyne averaged 6.06 points per home game compared to just 5.00 per away game and while the latter figure is by no means bad, when captaincy is at stake consistency is key. Take Alexis Sanchez and Harry Kane as an example being the most common captain choices from last season. They averaged 7.79 and 6.79 points per away game. Perhaps wait to see if De Bruyne will take that next step in his game before applying the armband?

Normally at this point we would disclose the Captain Foresight Scores but as regular members will know these scores are based on underlying statistics and as this is the first gameweek the data simply doesn’t exist. We ask for patience while events transpire to allow the score to function. Thank you and best of luck for the season ahead.

* Top three players at the time of writing.

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Statistics are only as good as the man who manipulated them so the question is do you trust Tommy?